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Global dimming


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Created 2005/03/22, modified 2008/11/23
Contact: email daveclarkecb@yahoo.com

Introduction

Research by many workers and in a number of countries has indicated that the amount of solar energy reaching the Earth's surface has been gradually falling for the past fifty years or so.

The effect was first noticed by an English scientist, Gerry Stanhill, working in Israel. When he compared Israeli sunlight records from 1950 with more recent ones he found that there was "a staggering 22% drop in the sunlight". Recently Australian scientists confirmed Stanhill's finding using completely different methods; they were looking at the decline in evaporation rates from meteorological pans. The dimming appears to be mainly caused by increasing amounts of air pollution, largely associated with smoke and the burning of fossil fuels.

Aircraft contrails are responsible for some global dimming. (All commercial flights were stopped for a few days following the New York Twin-Towers 2001/09/11 incident. Researchers discovered some unexpected changes associated with the sudenly greatly reduced contrail density.) Contrails also decrease the diurnal temperature variation; that is, they cause nights to be a little warmer and days to be a little cooler than they would otherwise be.

The dimming of sunlight may well cause reduced evaporation from the oceans with consequent reduction in rainfall. There have been suggestions that the effect may be responsible for droughts in the Sahel in the 1970s and 1980s. It may also have a disastrous impact on Asian monsoons.

Research has indicated that since 1950 the USA has lost 10% of its sunlight, the British Isles 16%, and some states of the former USSR over 30%. The largest reductions have taken place in northern hemisphere mid latitudes.

Perhaps the most worrying aspect of global dimming is that, in spite of the dimming we have been seeing rising world temperatures ascribed to global warming and the man-made greenhouse effect. If the greenhouse effect is sufficient to counteract global dimming and raise world temperatures the obvious conclusion is that the anthropological greenhouse effect is even greater than has been thought.






The implications

Greenhouse warming is happening because of geenhouse gasses that man is pumping into the atmosphere. Global dimming is happening because of particulate matter and smog that man is pumping into the atmosphere. The former is causing rising temperatures while the latter is somewhat limiting those rises. Neither is planned. Both are due to development of industries and services without sufficient consideration for the probably implications to the environment; or you could say just plain lack of foresight.

Nations like the USA and Australia have been very irresponsible in their failure to limit the damage they are doing in greenhouse. Is there any reason to think that they are likely to do better in their responsibility to fix the global dimming - greenhouse combination now that it hass been discovered?

Climate change due to Man's actions is a far greater risk to the world than is terrorism. Unless great public pressure is placed on the governments of Australia and the USA to 'clean up their act' the situation is only going to get worse.

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Useful links

A good site for more detail on the problem is BBC.

A page from the Australian Greenhouse Cooperative Research Council's site gives a list of research papers on the subject.

There is an extensive entry on the subject in Wikipedia






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Introduction
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Useful links